Athletics
39%
@
March 29, 2026
TOR
61%
Pitching Matchup
Athletics
Luis Morales
vs
TOR
Eric Lauer
Win Probability
| Source | Athletics | TOR |
|---|---|---|
| Model (blended) | 39.4% | 60.6% |
| Simulation only | 49.8% | 50.2% |
| Elo ratings | 29.0% | 71.0% |
| Market (implied) | 41.4% | 58.6% |
Simulation Results
Based on 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations
Athletics avg runs
5.2
TOR avg runs
4.9
Avg total
10.0
Win Margin Distribution
Negative = Athletics wins, Positive = TOR wins
Run Scoring Distribution
| Runs | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Athletics | 4.0% | 7.9% | 10.5% | 11.9% | 12.9% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.4% |
| TOR | 4.3% | 8.4% | 11.9% | 13.2% | 13.0% | 12.5% | 10.5% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.1% |
Lineups CONFIRMED
Athletics
- Shea Langeliers
- Nick Kurtz
- Brent Rooker
- Tyler Soderstrom
- Jacob Wilson
- Max Muncy
- Darell Hernaiz
- Austin Wynns
- Denzel Clarke
TOR
- George Springer
- Jesús Sánchez
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
- Addison Barger
- Kazuma Okamoto
- Daulton Varsho
- Ernie Clement
- Andrés Giménez
- Tyler Heineman
Park Factors & Conditions
Park Factors
Runs: 1.0
HR: 1.04
BB: 1.0
K: 1.0
Weather
Roof Closed
Elo Ratings
Athletics: 1461
TOR: 1593
Sportsbook Odds
| Book | Athletics | TOR |
|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | +128 | -152 |
| Bovada | +130 | -155 |
| BetMGM | +135 | -160 |
| DraftKings | +129 | -156 |
| Caesars | +130 | -155 |