CLE
48%
@
March 29, 2026
SEA
52%
Pitching Matchup
CLE
Slade Cecconi
vs
SEA
Emerson Hancock
Win Probability
| Source | CLE | SEA |
|---|---|---|
| Model (blended) | 48.0% | 52.0% |
| Simulation only | 42.2% | 57.8% |
| Elo ratings | 53.8% | 46.2% |
| Market (implied) | 43.2% | 56.8% |
Simulation Results
Based on 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations
CLE avg runs
3.7
SEA avg runs
4.1
Avg total
7.8
Win Margin Distribution
Negative = CLE wins, Positive = SEA wins
Run Scoring Distribution
| Runs | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLE | 9.2% | 13.8% | 14.9% | 15.0% | 13.2% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.8% |
| SEA | 7.0% | 11.3% | 14.1% | 15.1% | 14.0% | 11.8% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.1% |
Lineups PROJECTED
CLE
- Steven Kwan
- Chase DeLauter
- José Ramírez
- Kyle Manzardo
- Bo Naylor
- Rhys Hoskins
- CJ Kayfus
- Gabriel Arias
- Brayan Rocchio
SEA
- Brendan Donovan
- Cal Raleigh
- Julio Rodríguez
- Josh Naylor
- Randy Arozarena
- Luke Raley
- Dominic Canzone
- Cole Young
- Leo Rivas
Park Factors & Conditions
Park Factors
Runs: 0.83
HR: 0.87
BB: 1.0
K: 1.14
Weather
Roof Closed
Elo Ratings
CLE: 1568
SEA: 1517
Sportsbook Odds
| Book | CLE | SEA |
|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | +122 | -144 |
| Bovada | +122 | -145 |
| BetMGM | +125 | -150 |
| DraftKings | +119 | -143 |
| Caesars | +118 | -140 |