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Today's PicksMarch 30, 2026 › LAA @ CHC
LAA 39%
@ March 30, 2026
CHC 61%

Pitching Matchup

LAA Ryan Johnson
vs
CHC Edward Cabrera

Win Probability

LAA 39%
CHC 61%
SourceLAACHC
Model (blended) 39.5% 60.5%
Simulation only 42.5% 57.5%
Elo ratings 36.5% 63.5%
Market (implied) 36.9% 63.1%

Simulation Results

Based on 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations

LAA avg runs 4.3
CHC avg runs 4.5
Avg total 8.8

Win Margin Distribution

Negative = LAA wins, Positive = CHC wins

-10
-9
-8
-7
-6
-5
-4
-3
-2
-1
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10

Run Scoring Distribution

Runs 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
LAA 6.7% 11.1% 13.3% 14.4% 13.4% 11.0% 8.6% 7.6% 5.0% 3.4% 2.2% 1.5%
CHC 5.2% 9.7% 12.2% 14.3% 13.1% 12.2% 9.9% 7.7% 5.6% 3.9% 2.5% 1.5%

Lineups PROJECTED

LAA

  1. Zach Neto
  2. Mike Trout
  3. Nolan Schanuel
  4. Jorge Soler
  5. Yoán Moncada
  6. Jo Adell
  7. Josh Lowe
  8. Logan O'Hoppe
  9. Oswald Peraza

CHC

  1. Michael Busch
  2. Alex Bregman
  3. Ian Happ
  4. Pete Crow-Armstrong
  5. Nico Hoerner
  6. Carson Kelly
  7. Moisés Ballesteros
  8. Dansby Swanson
  9. Matt Shaw

Park Factors & Conditions

Park Factors

Runs: 0.92 HR: 0.94 BB: 1.0 K: 1.06

Weather

Forecast 80°F Wind: 14 mph in

Elo Ratings

LAA: 1459 CHC: 1531

Sportsbook Odds

BookLAACHC
FanDuel +164 -196
Bovada +155 -188
BetMGM +150 -185
DraftKings +159 -194
Caesars +158 -190