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Today's PicksMarch 31, 2026 › LAA @ CHC
LAA 39%
@ March 31, 2026
CHC 61%

Pitching Matchup

LAA Jose Soriano
vs
CHC Jameson Taillon

Win Probability

LAA 39%
CHC 61%
SourceLAACHC
Model (blended) 39.1% 60.9%
Simulation only 43.6% 56.4%
Elo ratings 34.6% 65.4%
Market (implied) 43.1% 56.9%

Simulation Results

Based on 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations

LAA avg runs 4.1
CHC avg runs 4.3
Avg total 8.4

Win Margin Distribution

Negative = LAA wins, Positive = CHC wins

-10
-9
-8
-7
-6
-5
-4
-3
-2
-1
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10

Run Scoring Distribution

Runs 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
LAA 7.7% 11.6% 14.1% 14.3% 13.0% 11.1% 9.1% 6.6% 4.5% 3.3% 2.0% 1.2%
CHC 6.1% 10.2% 12.9% 14.4% 14.1% 12.2% 9.1% 7.3% 5.0% 3.3% 2.2% 1.2%

Lineups PROJECTED

LAA

  1. Zach Neto
  2. Mike Trout
  3. Nolan Schanuel
  4. Jorge Soler
  5. Yoán Moncada
  6. Jo Adell
  7. Josh Lowe
  8. Logan O'Hoppe
  9. Oswald Peraza

CHC

  1. Michael Busch
  2. Alex Bregman
  3. Ian Happ
  4. Pete Crow-Armstrong
  5. Nico Hoerner
  6. Carson Kelly
  7. Moisés Ballesteros
  8. Dansby Swanson
  9. Michael Conforto

Park Factors & Conditions

Park Factors

Runs: 0.92 HR: 0.88 BB: 1.0 K: 1.06

Weather

Forecast 47°F Wind: 9 mph out

Elo Ratings

LAA: 1451 CHC: 1538

Sportsbook Odds

BookLAACHC
FanDuel +120 -142
Bovada +122 -145
BetMGM +125 -150
DraftKings +123 -149
Caesars +122 -145