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Today's PicksApril 1, 2026 › LAA @ CHC
LAA 42%
@ April 1, 2026
CHC 58%

Pitching Matchup

LAA Yusei Kikuchi
vs
CHC Matthew Boyd

Win Probability

LAA 42%
CHC 58%
SourceLAACHC
Model (blended) 41.5% 58.5%
Simulation only 45.0% 55.0%
Elo ratings 38.0% 62.0%
Market (implied) 40.2% 59.8%

Simulation Results

Based on 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations

LAA avg runs 3.9
CHC avg runs 4.0
Avg total 7.9

Win Margin Distribution

Negative = LAA wins, Positive = CHC wins

-10
-9
-8
-7
-6
-5
-4
-3
-2
-1
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10

Run Scoring Distribution

Runs 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
LAA 8.1% 12.6% 15.0% 14.6% 13.3% 11.1% 8.4% 6.2% 4.0% 2.6% 1.7% 1.1%
CHC 7.5% 11.6% 15.1% 15.4% 13.5% 11.3% 8.5% 6.6% 3.9% 2.7% 1.7% 1.0%

Lineups PROJECTED

LAA

  1. Zach Neto
  2. Mike Trout
  3. Nolan Schanuel
  4. Jorge Soler
  5. Yoรกn Moncada
  6. Jo Adell
  7. Bryce Teodosio
  8. Travis d'Arnaud
  9. Oswald Peraza

CHC

  1. Nico Hoerner
  2. Alex Bregman
  3. Ian Happ
  4. Pete Crow-Armstrong
  5. Carson Kelly
  6. Dansby Swanson
  7. Scott Kingery
  8. Dylan Carlson
  9. Matt Shaw

Park Factors & Conditions

Park Factors

Runs: 0.92 HR: 0.87 BB: 1.0 K: 1.06

Weather

Forecast 39°F Wind: 17 mph out

Elo Ratings

LAA: 1464 CHC: 1525

Sportsbook Odds

BookLAACHC
FanDuel +136 -162
Bovada +139 -165
BetMGM +140 -165
DraftKings +141 -171
Caesars +140 -165