Athletics
45%
@
April 20, 2026
SEA
55%
Pitching Matchup
Athletics
J.T. Ginn
vs
SEA
Emerson Hancock
Win Probability
| Source | Athletics | SEA |
|---|---|---|
| Model (blended) | 44.9% | 55.1% |
| Simulation only | 45.9% | 54.1% |
| Elo ratings | 44.0% | 56.0% |
| Market (implied) | 40.8% | 59.2% |
Simulation Results
Based on 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations
Athletics avg runs
4.1
SEA avg runs
4.1
Avg total
8.2
Win Margin Distribution
Negative = Athletics wins, Positive = SEA wins
Run Scoring Distribution
| Runs | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Athletics | 7.6% | 11.2% | 14.2% | 15.2% | 13.6% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.3% |
| SEA | 6.9% | 11.3% | 14.0% | 15.1% | 13.6% | 11.5% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.2% |
Lineups PROJECTED
Athletics
- Jeff McNeil
- Shea Langeliers
- Nick Kurtz
- Tyler Soderstrom
- Jacob Wilson
- Carlos Cortes
- Max Muncy
- Lawrence Butler
- Denzel Clarke
SEA
- Brendan Donovan
- Cal Raleigh
- Julio Rodríguez
- Josh Naylor
- Randy Arozarena
- Luke Raley
- J.P. Crawford
- Dominic Canzone
- Cole Young
Park Factors & Conditions
Park Factors
Runs: 0.83
HR: 0.87
BB: 1.0
K: 1.14
Weather
Roof Closed
Elo Ratings
Athletics: 1500
SEA: 1518
Sportsbook Odds
| Book | Athletics | SEA |
|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | +136 | -162 |
| Bovada | +133 | -159 |
| BetMGM | +135 | -165 |
| DraftKings | +135 | -163 |
| Caesars | +135 | -160 |