LAA
53%
@
April 24, 2026
KCR
47%
Pitching Matchup
LAA
Yusei Kikuchi
vs
KCR
Noah Cameron
Win Probability
| Source | LAA | KCR |
|---|---|---|
| Model (blended) | 53.3% | 46.7% |
| Simulation only | 44.5% | 55.5% |
| Elo ratings | 62.2% | 37.8% |
| Market (implied) | 49.1% | 50.9% |
Simulation Results
Based on 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations
LAA avg runs
4.6
KCR avg runs
4.7
Avg total
9.3
Win Margin Distribution
Negative = LAA wins, Positive = KCR wins
Run Scoring Distribution
| Runs | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAA | 5.8% | 9.8% | 12.1% | 13.4% | 13.0% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.8% |
| KCR | 4.7% | 8.7% | 12.0% | 13.9% | 13.1% | 12.2% | 10.2% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.9% |
Lineups PROJECTED
LAA
- Zach Neto
- Mike Trout
- Jo Adell
- Jorge Soler
- Oswald Peraza
- Nolan Schanuel
- Vaughn Grissom
- Logan O'Hoppe
- Bryce Teodosio
KCR
- Maikel Garcia
- Bobby Witt Jr.
- Vinnie Pasquantino
- Salvador Perez
- Lane Thomas
- Starling Marte
- Isaac Collins
- Nick Loftin
- Elias Díaz
Park Factors & Conditions
Park Factors
Runs: 1.05
HR: 1.0
BB: 1.1
K: 0.93
Elo Ratings
LAA: 1475
KCR: 1365
Sportsbook Odds
| Book | LAA | KCR |
|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | -104 | -112 |
| Bovada | -104 | -116 |
| BetMGM | -105 | -115 |
| DraftKings | -105 | -115 |
| Caesars | -105 | -115 |