KCR
47%
@
August 15, 2026
LAA
53%
Pitching Matchup
KCR
Randy Dobnak
vs
LAA
Reid Detmers
Win Probability
| Source | KCR | LAA |
|---|---|---|
| Model (blended) | 47.1% | 52.9% |
| Simulation only | 43.5% | 56.5% |
| Elo ratings | 50.6% | 49.4% |
| Market (implied) | 40.5% | 59.5% |
Simulation Results
Based on 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations
KCR avg runs
4.4
LAA avg runs
4.7
Avg total
9.1
Win Margin Distribution
Negative = KCR wins, Positive = LAA wins
Run Scoring Distribution
| Runs | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KCR | 6.3% | 10.5% | 13.2% | 13.8% | 13.2% | 11.3% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.6% |
| LAA | 5.0% | 9.1% | 11.8% | 13.4% | 13.9% | 12.4% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.6% |
Lineups PROJECTED
KCR
- Nick Loftin
- Bobby Witt Jr.
- Jac Caglianone
- Salvador Perez
- Carter Jensen
- Starling Marte
- Michael Massey
- Tyler Tolbert
- Kyle Isbel
LAA
- Wade Meckler
- Mike Trout
- Nolan Schanuel
- Zach Neto
- Moisés Ballesteros
- Vaughn Grissom
- Josh Lowe
- Denzer Guzman
- Tyler Heineman
Park Factors & Conditions
Park Factors
Runs: 1.0
HR: 1.07
BB: 1.0
K: 1.05
Weather
Forecast
79°F
Wind: 11 mph in
Elo Ratings
KCR: 1440
LAA: 1412
Sportsbook Odds
| Book | KCR | LAA |
|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | +130 | -154 |
| Bovada | +131 | -157 |
| BetMGM | +135 | -160 |
| DraftKings | +130 | -157 |
| Caesars | +143 | -153 |